Research

Topics

• OngoingS→E→I→Q→R

  Optimal control of mpox transmission

  An SEIQR model with waning immunity and two interventions, transmission reduction and case detection with isolation. We derive the optimality system with Pontryagin's maximum principle and compare intervention strategies numerically. Manuscript in preparation with collaborators at Universitas Padjadjaran.

  Compartmental ODEPontryagin's maximum principleForward–backward sweepNext-generation matrix

  WSWahyu Suryaningrat
• OngoingS→I→R

  Modelling hantavirus and dengue transmission

  A systematic literature review of mathematical models for hantavirus and dengue, mapping which mechanisms, data and control strategies the field has covered so far.

  Systematic literature reviewHost–vector models

  WSWahyu Suryaningrat
• Open for collaboration

  Mechanistic models meet machine learning

  Few studies combine mechanistic dynamics, optimal control, real surveillance data and machine learning in one framework. We are building towards that combination: fitting compartmental models to data and using learned components where the mechanism is uncertain.

  Parameter estimationOptimal controlMachine learningDeep learning

  WSWahyu Suryaningrat
• Published

  Epidemic dynamics: rice tungro, COVID-19 and Zika

  Earlier published work on the dynamics and control of plant and human epidemics, together with studies in numerical methods.

  Stability analysisNumerical simulation

  WSWahyu Suryaningrat
• Ongoing

  Compartmental Modeling Studio

  The open-source engine behind the simulation page. Models are written as plain equations; the engine detects parameters, derives the adjoint system symbolically and solves the optimal control problem.

  PythonSymPySciPyWebAssembly

  WSWahyu Suryaningrat

  Source codeOpen the studio